While there are no guarantees when it comes to investing, Tapparo Capital Management analyzes portfolio risk by using a sophisticated statistical technique called Monte Carlo simulation. This computer-aided modeling system:
Projects annual returns on your portfolio over the course of your expected lifetime.
Randomly varies the returns you’ll get every year to reflect market realities.
Simulates the performance you would see from your portfolio if you lived hundreds of lifetimes to try to model uncertainty of the financial markets.
Gives you a clear idea about how confident you can be that your portfolio will allow you to achieve your financial goals.
Monte Carlo quantifies the risk that you will not be able to afford all that you want in the future. No one can predict the future with certainty and statistics do not replace good judgment, but this technique assists in better understanding life’s financial realities, and we make it part of our practice.
The calendar has turned to May. The April showers that were supposed to bring May flowers, have only brought more rain here instead. I am confident that the flowers will be here soon enough.
There is an old adage in the stock market - "S...